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By my calculation the plane was flying roundabout 100.000 days with 2 accidents. Assuming 2 round-trips a day maybe 200.000 takeoff during this time. One crash every 100.000 take-offs.

Now assuming 40.000 road deaths per year in the US and 300.000.000 citizens we have 0.000133 probability to suffer a road death a year. Assuming one 737MAX round trip per quarter we have 8 take-offs so .00008 probability to die in a 737MAX. Assuming commuter 40 trips a year we have a risk much higher than the average road death risk.



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