I just want to point out that global iPhone market share has been hovering between 15% and 20% for years. Android has almost all of the rest. Iphones are not dominant.
Easy to see at a high level--phones with web, multimedia support, and app support. Near impossible to guess what exactly what would look like and when.
The pieces where there already, just good enough product with good enough connectivity was missing. In the end iPhone is nothing more than refined PDA...