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I think it's not so much the absence of evidence but the desire for more evidence that creates a vulnerability to false rationalizations.

We have lots of evidence about what's going on in Ukraine, or the reality of climate change, but for various reasons people feel a deep hunger for more information on these issues. That hunger drives a the demand side of the market which in turn motivates a supply.

Economically speaking, it's the marginal utility of a new justification for a belief that's important. In competitive idea driven landscapes like politics, VC, war, or crypto white papers there'll likely be an immense economic incentive for new justifications almost regardless of the existing supply.



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