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Solar and wind definitely make the most sense wherever feasible, but it's important to keep in mind you can't just build solar and wind farms anywhere. China has moderately good solar capacity in the north, but generation there will be seasonal due to how far north it is. The north of China is also not close to the majority of the population, so transmission will be an issue.

China's high to moderate quality solar capacity will be built out very quickly, and it won't provide enough to close the gap from fossil-based generation. From there, the cost of solar generation will rise as low quality capacity is developed.

China will need a way to import some of their energy generation, possibly through by importing goods like iron and steel that have a high energy production cost, from countries like Australia that can produce them using renewable energy (green iron / green steel) using Australia's almost limitless solar resources.

Since much of Australia's coal is also used in places like China to smelt their local and imported iron and steel, this could further drive down production of coal.



China is building a nation spanning UHV ("ultra high voltage") power transmission system.

> According to China Energy News, the combined length of the UHV transmission lines operating in China had reached 48,000km (30,000 miles) by the end of 2020, more than enough to wrap around the Earth by the equator.

https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20241113-will-chinas-ultr...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ultra-high-voltage_electricity...

https://www.bakerinstitute.org/chinas-energy-infrastructure


That's because the big energy sources are in northwest China, and the big loads are in southeast China near the coast.

The US should have similar lines running east and west from the wind belt, which runs roughly from the Texas panhandle to the Canadian border. There's not enough transmission capacity out of that region. Some of this is due to opposition from the oil industry.




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